1. Pirates - Gerrit Cole, RHP, UCLA
While this draft class is supremely talented, there is no clear cut number one. Cole, Rendon, Bundy, and Hultzen are all very much in the mix at this point. Bundy is gaining steam by the day and Neal Huntington has been in to see Hultzen.
2. Mariners - Dylan Bundy, RHP, Owasso HS (Okla.)
Bundy was no secret going into this spring, but no one has made a better case to go in the top five picks than him in the last month. With doubts about Rendon’s medicals still lingering and with Cole potentially off the board, many in the industry believe Seattle favors Bundy’s power arm.
3. Diamondbacks - Danny Hultzen, LHP, Virginia
Hultzen is a model of consistency and the scouting world has really come to appreciate him this spring. Arizona has been on him heavily in recent weeks, and if Pittsburgh doesn’t pop him this is his most likely landing spot.
4. Orioles - Archie Bradley, RHP, Broken Arrow HS (Okla.)
It’s a banner year for high school pitching, and Bradley would top most classes. He’s dazzled of late and is in the Orioles mix with Bauer, Bundy, Hultzen, among others. This is a spot the O’s could go a number of directions with.
5. Royals - Bubba Starling, OF, Gardner-Edgerton HS (Kan.)
The recent consensus among scouting directors is that Starling won’t get out of the top six picks. And, it’s difficult to see Kansas City passing him up if the top four arms are off the board. Rendon would be difficult to pass but worries about his health persist.
6. Nationals - Trevor Bauer, RHP, UCLA
Most of the names linked to Washington have been pitchers, and the best one on that list is Bauer. If he’s still on the board it would be surprising to see him slip any further. Alex Meyer, Rendon, and Matt Barnes are also strong possibilities here.
7. Diamondbacks - Francisco Lindor, SS, Montverde Academy (Fla.)
If Arizona does take Hultzen third overall, they’ll probably want to go in a different direction with this pick. And. Lindor gives them just that and warrants a seventh overall pick.
8. Indians - Anthony Rendon, 3B, Rice
If you don’t think clubs have legitimate concerns over Rendon’s health and less than overwhelming performance this spring, think again. Many scouts have expressed their doubts. But, if he does slide, this is probably as far as he gets.
9. Cubs - George Springer, OF, UConn
Springer started slow, but is finishing his season hitting the ball perhaps better than anyone in the country. The Cubs have monitored him closely, and he’d be very tough to pass for any club looking for a college bat. The Cubs would love to see Starling get here as well.
10. Padres - Sonny Gray, RHP, Vanderbilt
I wouldn’t expected the top tier of college arms to last too long, as they typically don’t. The Padres are looking at Gray, Barnes, Jungmann and possibly Bauer if he gets this far.
11. Astros - Matt Barnes, RHP, UConn
It’s difficult to see Matt Barnes getting any further than this. Houston covets a power college arm and Barnes gives them just that. But, they are looking at a lot of different options here.
12. Brewers - Taylor Jungmann, RHP, Texas
Jungmann has been a difficult one to place. Many clubs like him, and some in the top ten but he could end up even further down the board than this. Mikie Mahtook and a number of high school arms could fit here as well.
13. Mets - Mikie Mahtook, OF, LSU
The Mets have been linked with a number of names, including top high school arms like Taylor Guerrieri. But, it might be a fast moving impact college player like Mahtook that appeals to them most.
14. Marlins - Daniel Norris, LHP, Science Hill HS (Tenn.)
The Marlins badly need some depth restored in their system, so I expect them to take a number of high school players in this deep class to restock their lower levels. And, Norris is probably the best player on the board in this scenario, regardless.
15. Brewers - Taylor Guerrieri, RHP, Spring Valley HS (S.C.)
The Brewers have been linked to a number of arms, but also to bats like Mikie Mahtook. But, they’ve been on Guerrieri heavily this spring and he’d make a lot of sense in this spot.
16. Dodgers - Jed Bradley, LHP, Georgia Tech
This is probably the floor for Jed Bradley. He still could go as high as number three to the Diamondbacks, but no one in the industry seems to have a firm grasp of who will actually take him. It would be surprising to see him get beyond the Dodgers.
17. Angels - Robert Stephenson, RHP, Alhambra HS (Calif.)
Stephenson and the Angels are really a perfect match considering what type of drafts the Angels tend to have. Stephenson has somehow managed to not get talked about as much as some of the other high school arms in this class, but he belongs right in the midst of that elite group.
18. Athletics - Javier Baez, SS, Arlington Country Day School (Fla.)
Oakland is no longer hesitant to take high school players and they are one of several teams in on Javier Baez. It’s unclear where they see him long term position wise, but no one has any concerns about his offensive game.
19. Red Sox - Blake Swihart, C, Cleveland HS (N.M.)
According to sources, Blake Swihart is among the players in this draft who has a massive price tag. Otherwise he may be going higher. Price tag, for a player they covet, historically hasn’t bothered Boston too much, however. They have eyes on everyone, but Swihart would be right up their alley.
20. Rockies - Jose Fernandez, RHP, Alonso HS (Fla.)
Colorado seems to be a clear cut best player on their board type club, and they’ve taken a lot of looks at the top high school arms this year. Fernandez has one of the best arms in the class and is physically mature enough to come along relatively quickly.
21. Blue Jays - Brian Goodwin, OF, Miami Dade College
Goodwin has been a hot name of late. Teams picking beyond the 25th pick believe Goodwin will be gone before they have a crack at him and the Jays are a team that have been on him. Josh Bell is also a strong option here.
22. Cardinals - Levi Michael, SS, UNC
The Cards have been looking at a variety of options, including the top college arms if one makes it down to them. There probably won’t be a high school arm they like enough still available, so I would expect them to go for a college bat like Levi Michael.
23. Nationals - Larry Greene, OF, Berrien County HS (Ga.)
Larry Greene has been a “helium” player of late, but the reality is that he’s been very much on the radar since last summer. A number of teams in the second half of the first round are in on him, but the Nats in particular have an affinity for his massive raw power.
24. Rays - Josh Osich, LHP, Oregon State
Tampa Bay had a major scouting contingency on hand for Josh Osich’s no-hitter at UCLA late last month and obviously they had to come away impressed with his performance. Osich has enough helium right now that he may even be gone before this pick.
25. Padres - Cory Spangenberg, 3B, Indian River State
It’s been a very loud rumor that the Padres like Spangenberg. I don’t see them taking him with the tenth overall pick, as there are just better options. But, if he’s still around here they’ll take a long look.
26. Red Sox - Matt Purke, LHP, TCU
Again, Boston isn’t afraid to spend money and it’s possible that they think Purke will be available beyond the first round. But, they are definitely interested in the TCU lefty. Purke has told teams his price tag is above $4 million, which could make for a pricey first round for Boston.
27. Reds - Andrew Chafin, LHP, Kent State
The Reds will not go above slot here, but make no mistake, they will take the best player on their draft board. They are fond of the Kent State ace, and they like college arms. With many of the top tier arms gone this could be a very reasonable fit.
28. Braves - Michael Kelly, RHP, West Boca HS (Fla.)
We know the Braves like projectable arms, and they also aren’t afraid to value players a little differently than other teams. Kelly continues to show 92-95 mph velocity this spring and he’s as projectable as anyone in the class.
29. Giants - Joe Ross, RHP, Bishop O’Dowd HS (Calif.)
The Giants have had success drafting bats and college arms, but it looks like they are in on a large number of high school arms more than anything else this year. They like Robert Stephenson, but there’s a strong chance he’ll be off the board, and Joe Ross appears to be high on their list.
30. Twins - Jackie Bradley Jr., OF, South Carolina
Bradley Jr. is a first round talent, despite his injury this spring. And, the way the Twins approach the draft it wouldn’t be surprising to see them pop him in this spot. But, once again it’s hard to know what to expect from Minnesota.
31. Rays - John Stilson, RHP, Texas A&M
The Rays will likely try to diversify with this pick. Stilson may be a guy they see being able to move up quickly in a relief role, and it’s something they’re big league club could use in a hurry. Anthony Meo and Jackie Bradley Jr. have also been talked about here.
32. Rays - Henry Owens, LHP, Edison HS (Calif.)
Many see the Braves as a likely landing spot for Owens but there will probably be better options for them on the board. The Rays also are able to be patient with a projectable youngster like Owens.
33. Rangers - Josh Bell, OF, Dallas Jesuit HS (Tex.)
Always willing to take the toolsy high school player, Texas would have to be thrilled if Bell reached them at 33. In this scenario he would. They figure to be in on the right college arm if one of the top names gets this far.